Which 3 guys should I keep on my fantasy team?

roach23 · Jul 5, 2008

Need to submit who my keepers are for this upcoming season. We keep 3 guys in our league and give up the draft pick of the round we took them in last year (so if I keep Westbrook, i won't have a 1st round pick this year). This is my 1st season in a keeper and am not sure what strategy to use...

Do I keep my 3 best guys? Or do I keep the ones who have the best value (ie keeping Turner who i got in the 11th and is projected as a 3rd/4th this year).

Here are the guys i can keep and the round i drafted them in...

Westbrook (1st)
TO (2nd)
Braylon (4th)
Portis (5th)
Greg Jennings (8th)
Turner (11th)
Welker (14th)

asufan550 · Jul 5, 2008

I would keep Westbrook, Turner and Jennings. You won't find a better first round pick than Westbrook, and you'll still have picks in the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, etc. Plenty of good talent to be had in those rounds. Plus, even if Turner ends up a bust he only cost you an 11th round pick while he'd cost you a 3-4 if you let him go and redrafted him.

roach23 · Jul 5, 2008

asufan550 said:
I would keep Westbrook, Turner and Jennings. You won't find a better first round pick than Westbrook, and you'll still have picks in the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, etc. Plenty of good talent to be had in those rounds. Plus, even if Turner ends up a bust he only cost you an 11th round pick while he'd cost you a 3-4 if you let him go and redrafted him.

Why Jennings?

I forgot to mention this is a PPR league. Me keeping Welker is almost a lock. Same with Westbrook as I'm 99% sure I couldn't get anyone better than him in the 1st round.

I think Welker is better than Jennings.

Gator627 · Jul 5, 2008

Welker, Westbrook, Turner.

huet38 · Jul 5, 2008

I dont see how you can let portis go, hes considered somewhere between a first and second round talent and to only give up a 5th rounder, id think youd have to keep him. Westbrook is a top 5 back and is worth a high 1st rounder in any leage let alone a keeper. I was thinking edwards but actually to only lose a 14th for welker is something you cant pass up IMO.

JakeT. · Jul 6, 2008

Welker, Westbrook, Turner. Will add more to this tomorrow when I'm not exhausted.

Gator627 · Jul 9, 2008

You could gamble.....

Keeper Portis, Turner, and Welker.

With your first round pick, take Westbrook......if he is available.

Mr_Mark · Jul 9, 2008

Gator627 said:
Welker, Westbrook, Turner.

yea take these 3

westbrook always productive still the #1 weapon on philly

turner going to see majority of the touches for atl who pretty much has nothing on offense

welker is now the #2 reciver since stallworth is gone but brady throws to him alot he was tied with houshmandzadeh last season with most receptions so u know he is goin to get his touches

gl roach

roach23 · Jul 9, 2008

thanks mark.

westbrook and welker are locks that i'm gonna keep.

still decidin between portis, braylon and turner as the last person. but i'm leaning to turner.

quinnsft34 · Jul 9, 2008

Westbrook, Edwards, and Turner is the only way to go. PPR leagues Westbrook is to good to let go. Turner for the value of where you can get him this year and what it costs you this year. Edwards should have a huge season and is young. Welker is overrated off of one season. What will he do without Stallworth opposite of Moss? Can't go underneath and catch as many balls as he did last year IMO.

roach23 · Jul 10, 2008

Now I'm thinking of going Westbrook, Braylon & Portis. It'll assure me of 3 consensus top 20 players, and only giving up my 1st, 4th and 5th picks.

While i think i'll be giving up the value of keeping welker and turner and the late round picks i'd have to give up to keep them...when I think about it...most of the top players in the league will be kept by the other guys, so even if I had my 4th and 5th round picks...I wouldn't necessarily be getting the type of player you'd normally expect in the 4th/5th round in a regular redraft league.

Thoughts?

huet38 · Jul 10, 2008

I strongly agree with your reassesment, you have to remember that the difference between a 1st/2nd round guy like portis and a 3rd/4th round guy like turner is greater than the difference between a 7th round pick and a 12th round pick and that leagues are won with top guys. The exceptions to this is it doesnt make sense to keep a 2nd round pick who could probly be gotten in the 2nd round when there are other plays higher than the value of the pick you used available to be kept. In a keeper league portis is almost assuredly a 1st round pick. The edwards/welker situation is tricky and what you really have to asses to make that decision is would you rather have edwards and a throwaway pick or welker and somebody whos probly around a 4th round pick in your league.

OTK · Jul 10, 2008

I'd keep Westbrook, Portis and Turner. That's three very solid RB's and you're getting Portis and Turner at tremendous value in those rounds. A point could be made for Welker, but that is one a bit riskier since he is not typically a top guy and is more of a slot receiver. He came out of nowhere last year (I know he was always good with Miami, but never a top tier WR), but this season teams will watch out for him much more.

I'd take the three RB's and if you wanted more variety I would take Welker over Turner.

VIEJODINOSAUR · Jul 11, 2008

Westbrook, TO, and Edwards...

Gator627 · Jul 11, 2008

that is why I think you might be good to gamble. If everyone keeps their 1st rounder from last year, you can redraft Westbrook, essentially giving you 4 keepers.

roach23 · Jul 11, 2008

Gator627 said:
that is why I think you might be good to gamble. If everyone keeps their 1st rounder from last year, you can redraft Westbrook, essentially giving you 4 keepers.

Everyone won't be keeping their 1st rounder from last year. Shaun Alexander and Rudi Johnson among others were taken in the 1st last year.

Whisperz · Jul 12, 2008

Westbrook (1st)
TO (2nd)
Braylon (4th)
Portis (5th)
Greg Jennings (8th)
Turner (11th)
Welker (14th)

Very easy stuff here. Pretty basic.

Westbrook is an auto keep because unless your going to get your hands on Peterson or Tomlinson (who I assume are going to be kept) then your in good shape. Westbrook is pretty consistent and is less of a gamble then Jackson, Johnson, Addai and even Peterson. I take Westbrook 2nd overall this year. Westbrook is an auto keep.

TO can be let go because you have potential to improve in the 2nd round and your recieving core is pretty solid from what I could see.

I'm going to say keep Braylon because you get a bargain with him in the 4th round. I feel like he is going to pick up where he left off last year.

Portis is a definite no keep. He is too inconsistent and I had him on my team last year...you can improve in the 5th round.

Jennings is a no...he will be hurt without Favres cannon.

Turner is a no...unproven moving behind a bad d-line and without the likes of LT to loosen the defense. He will also probably share carries for some of the year.

Welker is the steal of the 2008 season and an absolute must keep for a 14th round pick. ESPECIALLY if you play point per reception.

GL...keep Westbrook, Braylon, Wes

roach23 · Jul 12, 2008

Whisperz said:
Portis is a definite no keep. He is too inconsistent and I had him on my team last year...you can improve in the 5th round.

How can I improve in the 5th round when Portis is a concensus 1st round pick if you go by the player rankings on espn, sportsline, yahoo, etc.

I have to disagree about his inconsistency as well. Portis was the 5th best RB with my league's scoring last year. He scored double digit points in all but 3 games last year.

If you take out LT & Westbrook, in a PPR league Portis was probably the most consistent RB left.

But I get what you're saying about keeping Welker. There is 0% chance I can pick up someone of his calibre in the 14th.

HarryCaray · Jul 13, 2008

No brainer IMO

Braylon, Welker, Westbrook.

FairWarning · Jul 22, 2008

Welker is a no brainer at 14. Now the rest is interesting. You are protecting value. You actually get more value with Portis (low 1st rounder) and Turner (projected 17th best. 2nd/3rd round) with an 11th round pick. If you protect those three, not only do you get a 1st rounder, you are picking the cream of the crop, while half the league is sitting there watching you pick because they protected the high rounders. They will all be picking at the end except you because you protected low picks.

As good as Westbrook is, the carries are starting to add up for him.